Sponsored link
Monday, September 15, 2025

Sponsored link

News + PoliticsElectionsThe Nancy Pelosi factor in SF politics

The Nancy Pelosi factor in SF politics

It appears the GOP will take the House. If Pelosi then steps down, which she probably will, SF will see a mad political scramble for that seat.

-

The outcome of the Congressional race in San Francisco, of course, is not and never was in doubt: Nancy Pelosi will be re-elected. But the outcome of the national House races, which at this point look like a Republican majority, could have a huge impact on San Francisco politics.

If the GOP takes the house, Pelosi would be, at best, minority leader, and there would be some who say that the party needs new leadership. She is clearly deeply upset (for good reason) at the attack on her husband, which amounts to an attempted kidnapping of the Speaker of the House. And she’s suggested that she might not serve another term.

Will Speaker Pelosi step down?

If she resigns after the election, that would trigger a special election for one of the most prized spots in San Francisco politics, a safe seat in Congress that the winner could easily hold for another 30 years.

There will be no lack of candidates.

State Sen. Scott Wiener would clearly be a candidate. So, by all accounts, would Pelosi’s daughter, Christine. She has the family name, but has never held elective office and has been entirely missing from local politics for decades.

I would be surprised if no progressive gets into the race.

It will be a mad dash, 120-day race, where fundraising and name-recognition will be critical. And the long-term impacts could be dramatic.

If Christine Pelosi wins, we can expect her to do what her mom did: Stay in Washington, mostly stay out of local politics, and try to be a chief party fundraiser to advance in the House.

If Wiener wins, he will become the de facto head of the Democratic Party in the city and will use his considerable influence to attempt to shift the city’s politics to the right.

Wiener would also vacate his state Senate seat, which would set off another mad-dash race in another special election. If, say, Assemblymember Matt Haney (who seems to have no problem with job-hopping) ran and won, it would open up his seat. If one of the supes runs and wins, that will give the mayor another appointment.

That person would then have to face the voters again in the next regular election, which might not be until 2024.

This is, as Politico noted, a “political earthquake” for San Francisco. And it will start Wednesday morning.

48 Hills welcomes comments in the form of letters to the editor, which you can submit here. We also invite you to join the conversation on our FacebookTwitter, and Instagram

Tim Redmond
Tim Redmond
Tim Redmond has been a political and investigative reporter in San Francisco for more than 30 years. He spent much of that time as executive editor of the Bay Guardian. He is the founder of 48hills.
Sponsored link
Sponsored link

Featured

Strange (and maybe inappropriate) actions at the Planning Commission …

... plus an attack on preservation in North Beach, and has the privatized zoo improved enough to get another $3 million? That's The Agenda for Sept. 14 to 21

After 28 albums, Sparks still can’t resist a flourish—thankfully

Synth pop duo's 'MAD!' purposes ennui haze, light banter, schoolkids' backpacks for its theater of ideas.

Painter Luis Felipe Chávez contemplates the monuments immigrants carry within

On the eve of Mexican Independence Day, Jalisco-raised artist presents binational views of freedom.

More by this author

Strange (and maybe inappropriate) actions at the Planning Commission …

... plus an attack on preservation in North Beach, and has the privatized zoo improved enough to get another $3 million? That's The Agenda for Sept. 14 to 21

Mayor will face opponents to zoning plan at rallies outside of City Hall

Press conference, silent protest marks first official meeting on upzoning proposal. Here's what to look for

Opposition grows to Lurie’s zoning plan that would transform San Francisco

Tenants, neighborhood groups, and some supes are saying the plan will hurt renters and small businesses—and needs more environmental review
Sponsored link

You might also likeRELATED